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UPDATED DAILY

1/7/2009


 

The BullandBearWise Index of economic and market indicators:

Growth
 
Gross Domestic Product
   Non-Farm Productivity
   Non-Manufacturing ISM
Labor
   Initial Jobless Claims
   Unemployment Rate
Commodity
   CRB Index
   London Gold
   Sweet Crude
Consumer
   Consumer Credit
   Personal Income
   Retail Sales
Manufacturing
   Capacity Utilization
   Durable Goods
   Factory Orders
   Industrial Production
   Manufacturing ISM

Inflation
   Agricultural Prices
   Consumer Price Index
   Producer Price Index
Financial
   S&P 500 Index
   S&P 500 P/E Ratio
   DJIA/S&P 500 Divergence
   Advance Decline Ratio
   Money - Zero Maturity
   Officer Loan Survey
   U.S. Treasury Yields 
   Volatility Index (VIX)
Investment
   Housing Market Index (HMI)
   Housing Starts
   New Homes Sales
Trade
   Dollar Cash Index
   Trade Balance

Other areas of interest at BullandBearWise:

Federal Reserve
   Balance Requirements
   Federal Funds
   Federal Funds Target Divergence
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Foreign Custody Holdings
   Money Supply
   Money Supply Rate of Change
   Non-Borrowed Reserves
   Securities Lending & POMO
   System Open market Account
   Temporary Open Market Balance
   Temporary Open Market Operations
      Domestic Operations 2003 Report

U.S. Debt
   Debt By Instrument
   Debt Ownership
   Debt and GDP

   Foreign Treasury Purchases

   Statutory Debt Limit
   Tax Collections
   Treasury Borrowings

At Issue
   Currency Growth
   Dollar versus Oil and Gold
   Federal Reserve Foreign Custody Holdings
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Gold BullMarkets
   Gold Fear Index
   Government Deficits
   Home Equity
   NASDAQ 100 Real Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE)
   Household Debt Burden
   Mortgage Debt
   NASDAQ 2000 vs. Dow 1929
   S&P 500 Reported vs Operating Earnings
   Velocity of Money
   Yield Curve Since 1869

BullandBearWise Management
   BullandBearWise Management

BullandBearWise
Index

28.36

The BullandBearWise Index weights economic and market indicators from 0 (bearish) to 100 (bullish).

Calendar

1/8

Initial Jobless Claims

1/8

Consumer Credit

1/9

Unemployment Rate

TODAY'S THOUGHT
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1/2/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jan 2 Agricultural Prices Bullish Bullish No change
Jan 2 Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 31 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2

Week of 1/2/2009 Net change

+2

12/26/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Dec 24 Durable Goods Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 24 Personal Income Bullish Bearish -2
Dec 24 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Dec 23 GDP -Final Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 23 New Home Sales Bullish Bearish -2
Dec 22 Money - Zero Maturity Bullish Bearish -2

Week of 12/26/2008 Net change

-8

12/18/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Dec 18 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Dec 16 CPI Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 16 Housing Starts Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 15 Housing Market Index Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 15 Capacity Utilization Bullish Bearish -2
Dec 15 Industrial Production Bullish Bearish -3

Week of 12/19/2008 Net change

-3

12/12/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Dec 12 PPI Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 12 Retail Sales Bearish Bullish +3
Dec 11 Trade Balance Bullish Bearish -3
Dec 11 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2

Week of 12/12/2008 Net change

-2

12/5/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Dec 5 Consumer Credit Bullish Bearish -1
Dec 5 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 4 Factory Orders Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 4 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
Dec 3 Non-Farm Productivity- Rev Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 3 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change
Dec 1 Money - Zero Maturity Bearish Bullish +2
Dec 1 Agricultural Prices Bearish Bullish +1
Dec 1 Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 12/5/2008 Net change

+2

11/28/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Nov 26 Personal Income Bearish Bullish +2
Nov 26 Durable Goods Bullish Bearish -3
Nov 26 New Home Sales Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 26 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Nov 25 GDP -Rev Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 11/28/2008 Net change

+1

11/21/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Nov 20 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 19 CPI Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 19 Housing Starts Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 18 Housing Market Index Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 18 PPI Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 17 Capacity Utilization Bearish Bullish +2
Nov 17 Industrial Production Bearish Bullish +3

Week of 11/21/2008 Net change

+5

11/14/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Nov 14 Retail Sales Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 13 Trade Balance Bullish Bullish No change
Nov 13 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 11/14/2008 Net change

No change

11/7/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Nov 7 Consumer Credit Bearish Bullish +1
Nov 7 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 6 Non-Farm Productivity Bullish Bearish -1
Nov 6 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 5 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 4 Factory Orders Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 3 Officer Loan Survey Bearish Bearish No change
Nov 3 Agricultural Prices Bullish Bearish -1
Nov 3 Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 11/7/2008 Net change

-1
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